With the development of the new Framework for Pacific Regionalism and through collective action on issues such as climate change, home‐grown Pacific regionalism is arguably strengthening. The admission in 2016 of French Polynesia and New Caledonia as full members of the Pacific Islands Forum, however, could potentially shift the balance of policy influence away from Pacific Island members towards that of the Forum's metropolitan members (Australia, New Zealand and now France). While it is early days, this research note makes some beginning observations about where the balance of influence is likely to tilt. We conclude that despite their status as non‐self‐governing territories, New Caledonia and French Polynesia have at times successfully pursued their own interests over those of France and both have much human and economic capital to offer their Pacific Island peers. We also suggest that assuming France's territories will align with the geopolitical interests of Australia and New Zealand and potentially move the Forum back towards a neoliberal agenda, denies the political agency that Pacific Island countries have been increasingly exercising over the Forum's policy. On balance, rather than acting as France's Trojan horse, we argue that the territories’ membership will further strengthen the Pacific canoe.

中文翻译：

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论坛中的法国领土：是特洛伊木马还是太平洋独木舟的桨？

随着新的《太平洋区域主义框架》的发展以及通过在诸如气候变化等问题上采取集体行动，可以说本土的太平洋区域主义正在加强。但是，法属波利尼西亚和新喀里多尼亚于2016年被接纳为太平洋岛屿论坛的正式成员，这可能会将政策影响的平衡从太平洋岛屿成员转移到论坛大都会成员（澳大利亚，新西兰和现在的法国） 。尽管还处于初期阶段，但本研究笔记对影响力平衡可能倾斜的地方进行了一些初步观察。我们得出的结论是，尽管它们是非自治领土，新喀里多尼亚和法属波利尼西亚有时成功地追求自己的利益，而不是法国，它们都拥有大量人力和经济资本来为太平洋岛上的同龄人提供服务。我们还建议，假设法国的领土将与澳大利亚和新西兰的地缘政治利益保持一致，并有可能将论坛推回到新自由主义议程，则应否认太平洋岛国在论坛政策上越来越多地行使政治权力。总而言之，我们认为这些领土的加入将进一步加强太平洋独木舟，而不是充当法国的特洛伊木马。美国的领土将与澳大利亚和新西兰的地缘政治利益保持一致，并有可能将论坛推回到新自由主义议程上，否认太平洋岛国在论坛政策上日益行使的政治代理权。总而言之，我们认为这些领土的加入将进一步加强太平洋独木舟，而不是充当法国的特洛伊木马。美国的领土将与澳大利亚和新西兰的地缘政治利益保持一致，并有可能将论坛推回到新自由主义议程上，否认太平洋岛国在论坛政策上日益行使的政治代理权。总而言之，我们认为这些领土的加入将进一步加强太平洋独木舟，而不是充当法国的特洛伊木马。