In recent years, it has become accepted wisdom that children subject to youth justice intervention, in England and Wales, are more complex than previously, as a consequence of a substantial rise in diversion from the system that filters out children with lower levels of need and less entrenched offending. This ‘complexity’ thesis has been used to explain rises in rates of reoffending. This article demonstrates that the patterns shown in the reoffending data are not those that would be predicted by the complexity thesis. Indeed the data suggest that some groups of children may be less entrenched in offending than hitherto.

中文翻译：

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探索青年司法再定罪的最新趋势：对复杂性论文的挑战

近年来，人们普遍认为，在英格兰和威尔士，受青少年司法干预的儿童比以前更加复杂，这是由于从系统中大量转移的结果，该系统过滤掉了需要较低水平的儿童和不那么根深蒂固的冒犯。这个“复杂性”论点已被用来解释再犯罪率的上升。本文表明，再犯数据中显示的模式并非复杂性论文所预测的模式。事实上，数据表明，某些儿童群体的犯罪行为可能不像以往那样根深蒂固。