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A human tragedy? The pace of negative global change exceeds human progress
The Anthropocene Review ( IF 2.5 ) Pub Date : 2019-04-01 , DOI: 10.1177/2053019619848216
Douglas W Morris 1
Affiliation  

I analyze changes in the demographic profiles and urbanization rates of 201 countries, and assess 69 global indicators of the human condition, in order to evaluate whether the human population is endangering its persistence and future quality of human life (tragedy of the commons). Encouraging changes in age profiles signal a slowing down in human population growth during the Anthropocene while exponential increases in several economic, education, and health indicators support an optimistic outlook for the future of humanity. But rapid growth by a larger number of negative indicators foretell a global human tragedy plagued by long-term increases in pollution, global warming, waning food production and unparalleled declines in biodiversity. Urgent action is required to avoid further collapse of the Earth System.

中文翻译:

人类的悲剧?全球负面变化的步伐超过了人类的进步

我分析了201个国家的人口概况和城市化率的变化,评估了69种全球人类状况指标,以评估人口是否正在威胁其持久性和未来人类生活质量(公地悲剧)。令人鼓舞的年龄变化表明,在人类世期间人口增长放缓,而一些经济,教育和健康指标的指数增长则支持对人类未来的乐观看法。但是,大量负面指标的迅速增长预示着全球人类悲剧,长期以来污染,全球气候变暖,粮食产量下降和生物多样性无与伦比的下降都困扰着这一悲剧。需要采取紧急行动以避免地球系统进一步崩溃。
更新日期:2019-04-01
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