The Finnish Birth Cohort 1987 grew up during the recession that hit Finland in the early 1990s, which had an impact on their parents’ activity in the labour market. In this paper we use Finnish register data to build employment and education sequences for all young people born in Finland in 1987 for the period 2005–2012 and employment sequences for all their parents for the entire length of their children’s lives from 1987 until 2012. The sequences were analysed and clustered, and four multinomial logistic regression models were used to find how parents’ trajectories connect to their children’s early adulthood trajectories. Most parents had been on a stable employment trajectory, but we found mothers and fathers who were absent from the labour market during the recession of the 1990s and after it – and some parents never entirely returned to work during this 1987–2012 follow-up. Likewise, most children were either on an employment or education trajectory, but we found groups of children who were on very early child care trajectories, unemployment trajectories, or on a trajectory with no records in the Finnish registers, which in the Finnish context implies that those young people are not employed, not in education and not receiving any of the various benefits. Disadvantageous trajectories were mostly very lasting. We found strong connections between parents’ disadvantages in the labour market and children’s disadvantageous early adulthood trajectories, even when adjusting for strong background variables. The strongest connections arise from parents’ long absences from the labour market.

中文翻译：

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1987年芬兰出生队列中父母就业轨迹对儿童早期成年教育和就业轨迹的影响

1987年的芬兰出生队列在1990年代初遭受经济衰退的芬兰长大，这对父母在劳动力市场的活动产生了影响。在本文中，我们使用芬兰注册数据来建立1987年至2005年在芬兰出生的所有年轻人的就业和教育顺序，以及从1987年到2012年整个子女寿命的所有父母的就业顺序。对序列进行了分析和聚类，并使用四个多项式逻辑回归模型来发现父母的轨迹如何与子女的成年早期轨迹联系起来。大多数父母的工作轨迹稳定，但是，我们发现在1990年代的经济衰退期间及之后，母亲和父亲缺席了劳动力市场–在1987年至2012年的后续行动中，一些父母从未完全回到工作岗位。同样，大多数儿童处于就业或受教育的轨道上，但是我们发现成组的儿童处于非常幼稚的轨道，失业轨道上或在芬兰登记册中没有记录的轨道上，这在芬兰语中意味着这些年轻人没有工作，没有受过教育，也没有得到任何各种好处。不利的轨迹通常非常持久。我们发现，即使在调整强背景变量的情况下，父母在劳动力市场上的劣势与儿童在成年早期的不利轨迹之间也存在密切的联系。