Health risk assessment and prediction of the disease occurrence among workers of metallurgical enterprises is warranted by the current state of industrial development. The aim of the study was to select criteria to improve reliability of the assessment of professional risk in the conditions of a reduction in the number of employees in certain occupational groups. Methods. The working conditions of employees of the main professional groups of the smelting shop on the basis of a modern metallurgical enterprise for the production of high-carbon ferrochrome were studied. Priority harmful factors have been identified for assessing the risk of workers' health - microclimate, noise, air pollution with aerosols of mainly fibrogenic effect. The occupational health risk of workers has been estimated according to morbidity indicators with temporary disability depending on age and length of service. Results. A direct statistically significant etiological relationship between working conditions and the incidence of smelting shop workers was revealed. The results of the analysis of disease incidence risk growth rate depending on age and employment duration (annual increase in risk) of employees are presented. Annual growth of disease incidence cases depending on employment duration (0,2 ± 0,03) is significantly higher than depending on the age (0,03 ± 0,005). An express assessment has been developed to predict the risk of exposure to harmful factors for this production, which can be used to improve measures for managing professional risk in the metallurgical and other industries. An express assessment has been developed to predict the risk of exposure to harmful factors for this production, which can be used to improve measures for managing professional risk in the metallurgical and other industries. Conclusion. A high occupational risk of smelting workers in the production of high-carbon ferrochrome indicates the influence of harmful production factors on the incidence rates from the first years of work, which should be taken into account when conducting preventive measures.

中文翻译：

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冶金冶炼厂职工职业健康风险评估

冶金企业职工疾病发生的健康风险评估和预测是当前工业发展状况的必然要求。该研究的目的是选择标准，以在某些职业组的雇员人数减少的情况下提高职业风险评估的可靠性。方法。对以生产高碳铬铁的现代化冶金企业为依托的冶炼车间主要专业群体员工的工作情况进行了研究。已经确定了用于评估工人健康风险的优先有害因素 - 小气候、噪音、主要为纤维化作用的气溶胶造成的空气污染。工人的职业健康风险已根据发病率指标进行估计，并根据年龄和服务时间长短暂时残疾。结果。揭示了工作条件与冶炼车间工人发病率之间的直接统计显着的病因关系。提供了根据员工年龄和就业时间（风险的年度增加）的疾病发病风险增长率的分析结果。取决于就业时间的疾病发病率年增长率 (0,2 ± 0,03) 显着高于取决于年龄 (0,03 ± 0,005)。已经开发了一个明确的评估来预测该生产暴露于有害因素的风险，可用于改进冶金和其他行业的专业风险管理措施。已经开发了一个明确的评估来预测该生产暴露于有害因素的风险，可用于改进冶金和其他行业的专业风险管理措施。结论。冶炼工人在高碳铬铁生产中的职业风险较高，表明有害生产因素对工作最初几年的发病率的影响，在采取预防措施时应予以考虑。