Research on homicide trends has not adequately considered trends in interpersonal disputes. Aggregate homicide rates partly reflect the extent to which less serious forms of interpersonal violence escalate to deadly violence. This study argues that the rate of disputes in a society and the proportion that result in deadly violence vary independently. But both are necessary to understand lethality trends. The study compares rates of homicide in the Supplemental Homicide Report with rates of violence in the National Crime Victimization Survey to estimate lethality trends from 1992 to 2016. Findings are discussed regarding their implications for explanations of homicide trends.

中文翻译：

---

美国暴力致死率的趋势

对凶杀趋势的研究尚未充分考虑人际争端的趋势。凶杀总发生率部分反映了较不严重的人际暴力形式升级为致命暴力的程度。这项研究认为，社会中的争端发生率和导致致命暴力的比例是独立变化的。但是两者都是了解杀伤力趋势所必需的。该研究将《补充杀人罪报告》中的凶杀率与《全国犯罪受害调查》中的暴力率进行了比较，以估计1992年至2016年的致死率趋势。讨论了这些发现对解释凶杀趋势的影响。