ABSTRACT

This study comprehensively explores the nature and extent of transitory and chronic unemployment using the data from the first four waves of the National Income Dynamics Study (NIDS) conducted in 2008–15. The empirical findings revealed that the transitorily and chronically unemployed individuals shared highly similar characteristics: African female individuals with incomplete secondary education, residing in urban areas of the Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng provinces. Both groups of unemployed individuals were more likely to come from the youth cohorts (25–34 and 35–44 years, in particular the former cohort), with their households being composed of about five members on average. Lastly, upon examining all employed individuals at the time of wave 4 of NIDS, those who worked across all four waves earned nearly three times as much as those who experienced unemployment of some duration in the first three waves (R11 300 versus R3800 per month, in 2019 December prices).

摘要

本研究利用 2008-15 年进行的前四波国民收入动态研究 (NIDS) 的数据，全面探讨了暂时性和长期性失业的性质和程度。实证结果显示，暂时和长期失业的个体具有高度相似的特征：中等教育不完整的非洲女性个体，居住在东开普省、夸祖鲁-纳塔尔省和豪登省的城市地区。两组失业者更有可能来自青年群体（25-34 岁和 35-44 岁，尤其是前者），他们的家庭平均由大约 5 名成员组成。最后，在 NIDS 第 4 波期间检查所有就业人员后，