The emergent crisis of affordable urban housing coupled with a sustained decline in internal migration rates in many Western countries warrants a thorough exploration of the relation between housing costs and internal migration. Although it is well established that housing is an important contextual determinant of migration flows, little attention has thus far been paid to the ways in which rising housing costs shape internal migration. In this paper, we use a time-series of annual intercounty migration in Germany for the period 2004–2017 to examine the association between increasing housing prices and changes in internal migration flows. For this, we apply fixed effects Poisson panel regression models to migration flow tables. Our results show that regions with rising housing costs experience declining inflows. In larger cities, rising housing costs are also associated with increasing outflows. Our study provides new insights into the relationship between house price dynamics and internal migration.

中文翻译：

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国内移民和住房成本—德国的面板分析

负担得起的城市住房的紧急危机，再加上许多西方国家内部移民率的持续下降，需要对住房成本与内部移民之间的关系进行彻底的探索。尽管众所周知，住房是移民流动的重要背景决定因素，但迄今为止，对住房成本上涨影响内部移民的方式的关注很少。在本文中，我们使用2004-2017年德国年度县际迁移的时间序列来检验房价上涨与内部移民流动变化之间的关联。为此，我们将固定效应Poisson面板回归模型应用于迁移流表。我们的结果表明，住房成本上涨的地区流入量下降。在大城市，住房成本上升也与流出量增加有关。我们的研究为房价动态与内部迁移之间的关系提供了新的见解。