With countries like Chile facing secularisation, some research predicts religious‐secular cleavages will ‘dealign’, while other research suggests these cleavages will persist so long as religious‐secular divisions are reflected among presidential candidates. Using surveys of first‐round voting intentions in the five most recent presidential elections in Chile, the analysis shows that religious‐secular divisions in voting appear when candidates are divided clearly along religious‐secular lines (and not when divisions among candidates are blurred). These findings suggest researchers need to account for the impact candidates' positions have on the appearance of religious‐secular divisions before declaring that dealignment has occurred.

中文翻译：

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变形还是突出？智利总统选举中的宗教世俗部门

随着智利等国家面临世俗化，一些研究预测宗教与世俗的分裂将“失调”，而其他研究表明，只要在总统候选人中反映出宗教与世俗的分歧，这些分裂将持续下去。通过对智利最近五次总统选举中第一轮投票意向的调查，分析显示，当候选人沿着宗教世俗路线明显划分时（而非当候选人之间的划分模糊时），就会出现选举中的宗教世俗分裂。这些发现表明，研究人员需要在宣布失调发生之前，考虑候选人的位置对宗教-世俗分裂的影响。