This article examines manufacturing export determinants across Mexican states and regions from 2007 to 2015. Paying particular attention to the role of FDI, the analysis considers internal and external determinants of manufacturing exports under static and dynamic panel data methods. Several interesting results were obtained. First, the ratio of manufacturing to total GDP is the most consistent determinant of exports performance, regardless of the estimation method or specification employed. Second, static panel data estimations under GMM techniques suggest different sensitivity to FDI across regions, with the Mexico-U.S. border region observing the most substantial short-term effect of FDI on manufacturing exports. Finally, using dynamic panel data methods, we found significant persistence and similar long-term effects of FDI across most of the regions.

本文研究了2007年至2015年墨西哥各州和地区的制造业出口决定因素。在特别关注FDI的作用的情况下，该分析考虑了静态和动态面板数据方法下制造业出口的内部和外部决定因素。获得了一些有趣的结果。首先，制造业与GDP的比率是决定出口绩效的最一致的决定因素，而与所采用的估算方法或规格无关。其次，根据GMM技术进行的静态面板数据估计表明，跨地区对FDI的敏感性不同，墨西哥-美国边境地区观察到FDI对制造业出口的最重大短期影响。最后，使用动态面板数据方法，