Abstract What factors influence whether allies have the same understandings of threats and adversaries? Allies may infer they share each other's views without verifying if this is so, with harmful consequences. A set of psychological biases can cause policymakers to neglect valuable information held by one or more allies, and instead disproportionately discuss information that every allied contributor to a threat assessment already knows. Psychologists call the unshared assessments “hidden profiles”: an evaluative profile that postulates key features of a problem or threat, hidden in the sense that it is unintentionally withheld from the wider group. This manuscript compares the hidden-profiles model and alternative theories of threat perception using the 1956 Suez Crisis as a case study

中文翻译：

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联盟中的威胁感知和隐藏概况：重温苏伊士运河

摘要 哪些因素影响盟友对威胁和对手的理解是否一致？盟友可能会推断他们分享彼此的观点，而无需验证是否如此，从而产生有害后果。一系列心理偏见会导致决策者忽视一个或多个盟友掌握的有价值的信息，而是不成比例地讨论威胁评估的每个盟友贡献者已经知道的信息。心理学家将未共享的评估称为“隐藏配置文件”：假设问题或威胁的关键特征的评估配置文件，隐藏在它无意中被更广泛的群体隐瞒的意义上。这份手稿以 1956 年苏伊士运河危机为案例研究，比较了隐藏配置文件模型和威胁感知的替代理论