ABSTRACT

There has been minimal consideration of the implications of demographic and social shifts for future old-age social protection needs and programming in sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper we address this gap, building on the example of Rwanda. We utilise mixed-methods research to show that aggregate national statistics mask many of the complex vulnerabilities that older people face. These, combined with our projections of changes in Rwanda’s economy, suggest an expanding unmet need for social protection among Rwanda’s older population. A universal social pension is one affordable way to respond to this gap in provision both now and in the future.

中文翻译：

---

人口变化和老龄化对撒哈拉以南非洲地区社会保护的影响：卢旺达的见解

摘要

对于撒哈拉以南非洲地区的人口和社会转变对未来的老年社会保护需求和方案的影响的考虑极少。在本文中，我们以卢旺达为例解决这一差距。我们利用混合方法研究表明，汇总的国家统计数据掩盖了老年人所面临的许多复杂漏洞。这些加之我们对卢旺达经济变化的预测，表明卢旺达老年人口对社会保护的需求未得到满足。普遍社会养老金是一种应对现在和将来这一供资缺口的可负担方式。