ABSTRACT

This review considers how rapid environmental change, generated through both inhuman natural forces and human-induced impacts, affects landscape futures and decision-making processes. To do this, we start by defining ‘futures’, and, more specifically, the different kinds of futures at stake in changing landscapes. We discuss how rapid environmental change not only puts immediate pressure on identifying alternative futures for landscapes, but also threatens to unsettle patterns of attachment to the landscape. We then explore different ways of managing tensions and consider strategies that have been used for breaking down binary divisions that may stymie informed and integrated decision-making. We conclude by adapting a five-point framework that incorporates uncertainty and environmental change when making decisions about landscape futures.

摘要

这篇评论考虑了由非人类自然力量和人为影响所产生的快速环境变化如何影响景观未来和决策过程。为此，我们首先定义“期货”，更具体地说，定义在不断变化的格局中处于危险之中的各种期货。我们讨论了快速的环境变化如何不仅给确定景观的另类期货带来了立即的压力，而且还威胁到景观的依附模式不稳定。然后，我们探索了处理紧张局势的不同方法，并考虑了用于打破可能阻碍明智和综合决策的二元分裂的策略。最后，我们通过调整五点框架来总结决策前景时的不确定性和环境变化。