ABSTRACT

The Honest Opportunity Probation with Enforcement Demonstration Field Experiment (HOPE DFE) was the largest and most rigorous test of the HOPE model. Outcomes from this experiment indicated null or even iatrogenic results for HOPE, in spite of high implementation fidelity. This article explores in greater detail the implementation experience at the four DFE sites, examining factors that may elucidate these outcomes. The implementation experience was smooth, although HOPE at one site clashed with the existing organizational culture. The implementation of HOPE did seem to be resilient to local administrative variations and the site that struggled to accept HOPE yielded a successful implementation. Still, good implementation experiences did not produce positive outcomes, suggesting that HOPE was an ineffective model that was implemented well. While the HOPE teams overall were enthusiastic about HOPE, thinking that HOPE was the way that probation should be, this faith in the model did not translate into measurable outcomes, suggesting that correctional policy should be driven by evidence rather than aspirations.

摘要

具有执法示范现场实验的诚实机会缓刑（HOPE DFE）是HOPE模型中规模最大，最严格的测试。尽管实施的保真度很高，但该实验的结果表明HOPE的结果为零甚至是医源性结果。本文将更详细地探讨四个DFE站点的实施经验，并研究可能阐明这些结果的因素。尽管一个站点上的HOPE与现有的组织文化发生冲突，但实施经验还是很顺利的。HOPE的实施似乎确实可以适应当地的行政管理变化，并且努力接受HOPE的站点成功实施了。尽管如此，良好的实施经验并没有产生积极的结果，这表明希望是有效实施的无效模型。应该是，对模型的这种信念并没有转化为可衡量的结果，这表明惩戒政策应该由证据而不是抱负驱动。