ABSTRACT

The current study examines the associations between demolition and crime in Los Angeles blocks. Also, the current study examines how different types of demolitions (residential and commercial) can have different effects on crime in place. We utilized a weekly dataset of demolitions and crime in the city of Los Angeles, California from 2013 to 2016. We estimated longitudinal logistic regression models including measures of completed and permitted demolitions, while accounting for other structural characteristic measures. We found that completed demolitions in the focal block are not associated with most types of crime, while demolition permits have a crime-reducing effect on burglary, but crime-enhancing effect on larceny. We also found that the notice of a residential demolition permit reduces burglary one week later, but not for a commercial demolition permit. The current study contributes to the extant literature by revealing the nuances surrounding the demolition and crime process in blocks, in terms of demolition stages (permitted and completed), demolition type (residential and commercial), and crime types.

摘要

目前的研究调查了洛杉矶街区的拆迁与犯罪之间的关联。此外，当前的研究调查了不同类型的拆除（住宅和商业）如何对现场犯罪产生不同的影响。我们利用了 2013 年至 2016 年加利福尼亚州洛杉矶市的每周拆除和犯罪数据集。我们估计了纵向逻辑回归模型，包括已完成和允许拆除的措施，同时考虑了其他结构特征措施。我们发现，在重点街区完成的拆除与大多数类型的犯罪无关，而拆除许可证对入室盗窃有减少犯罪的作用，但对盗窃有促进犯罪的作用。我们还发现，住宅拆迁许可证的通知在一周后减少了入室盗窃，但不是商业拆迁许可证。当前的研究通过在拆迁阶段（允许和已完成）、拆迁类型（住宅和商业）和犯罪类型方面揭示围绕拆迁和犯罪过程的细微差别，为现有文献做出了贡献。