Recent Palestinian Authority (PA) initiatives to help Palestine adapt to climate change help shine light on the role that climate uncertainties play in how political futures can be represented. UN-led adaptation has occasioned opportunities for new networks of actors to make claims about Palestinian futures and to perform PA readiness for statehood. These actors weigh scientific uncertainties about climate against uncertainties over if and when settler colonialism in Palestine will end. How they do so matters because it is the foundation of requests for capital that could be translated into some of the most important institutions and infrastructures of Palestinian governance over the next several years, including those that provide Palestinians with access to water. It also matters because it constitutes the image with which PA officials represent what needs to be “fixed” in Palestine in important international forums such as the UN. Climate change adaptation is a new approach to the management of uncertain environmental futures. This analysis offers insight into how this approach shapes and is shaped by practices of statecraft in places marked by the volatilities of war, economic crisis, and occupation.

中文翻译：

---

危险时期的不确定气候：占领如何成为后奥斯陆巴勒斯坦的雨

最近巴勒斯坦权力机构 (PA) 旨在帮助巴勒斯坦适应气候变化的举措有助于阐明气候不确定性在如何代表政治未来方面所起的作用。联合国主导的适应活动为新的参与者网络提供了机会，让他们可以对巴勒斯坦的未来提出主张，并为巴勒斯坦建国做好准备。这些参与者权衡关于气候的科学不确定性与巴勒斯坦定居者殖民主义是否以及何时结束的不确定性。他们如何做到这一点很重要，因为这是未来几年可以转化为巴勒斯坦治理的一些最重要的机构和基础设施的资本请求的基础，包括那些为巴勒斯坦人提供用水的机构和基础设施。这也很重要，因为它构成了巴勒斯坦权力机构官员在联合国等重要国际论坛上代表巴勒斯坦需要“解决”的问题的形象。气候变化适应是管理不确定环境未来的一种新方法。该分析深入了解了这种方法如何在以战争、经济危机和占领的动荡为标志的地方的治国方略做法形成和塑造。