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Investigative consequence analysis: A case study research of beirut explosion accident
Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries ( IF 3.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-11 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2020.104387
Srinivas Sivaraman , Surendar Varadharajan

Around 15:00 GMT on August 4th, an explosion occurred in the warehouse facility storing Ammonium Nitrate (AN) at Beirut port, Lebanon. The explosion resulted in more than 178 fatalities and injured more than 6500 people, and also left an estimated 300,000 people homeless and registered as an equivalent to a 3.3 magnitude earth quake. The accident was considered to be the largest of its kind and the most severe anthropological disaster of the decade, the financial loss the nation was subjected to post the explosion was estimated to be around $ 15 billion as informed by the governor. The storage conditions of ammonium nitrate at Beirut port is not definitively known to anyone, and there is no documentation provided so far from the authorities regarding the same. This work focuses on the investigation & consequence analysis of the explosion using TNT equivalent approach. The overpressure and the impulse obtained from TNT calculations are used in probit models to assess the damages caused on human beings and structures. The results obtained in this investigative approach are then utilized to provide an analytical inference relative to the damage proxy map reported by the advance rapid imaging analysis team from NASA. Also, this work examines the existing standards, fire safety measures and legal regulations for ammonium nitrate facilities in the region. AN explosion during storage like other fire and explosion accidents are definitely preventable owing to the technological advancements and developments to prevent or extinguish controllable fires. The significance of this work relates to the methods for calculation of consequences of explosion that are happening due to the storage of highly hazardous explosive materials in excessive quantities and insists the necessity of incorporating adequate safety measures while storing such reactive and hazardous materials.



中文翻译:

调查结果分析:贝鲁特爆炸事故的案例研究

8月4日格林威治标准时间15:00左右,黎巴嫩贝鲁特港口的硝酸铵仓库发生爆炸。爆炸造成了178多人死亡,超过6500人受伤,估计还有300,000人无家可归,并被​​登记为相当于3.3级地震。事故被认为是十年来最大的一次,也是最严重的人类学灾难,据州长告知,爆炸后国家遭受的经济损失估计约为150亿美元。没有人确切知道在贝鲁特港口的硝酸铵的储存条件,到目前为止,有关当局都没有提供任何相关文件。这项工作着重于调查和 使用TNT等效方法进行爆炸的后果分析。从TNT计算获得的超压和冲量用于概率模型,以评估对人和建筑物造成的损害。然后,通过这种调查方法获得的结果将用于提供相对于由NASA的快速成像高级分析小组报告的损坏代理地图的分析推断。此外,这项工作还研究了该地区硝酸铵设施的现有标准,消防安全措施和法律法规。由于在防止或扑灭可控火灾方面的技术进步和发展,与其他火灾和爆炸事故一样,在储存期间发生爆炸绝对是可以预防的。

更新日期:2021-01-20
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