North Korean forests represent a potential substitutive option for central/local governments and private companies in South Korea seeking to abide by the 2015 Paris Climate Change Agreement. Yet the “protracted [inter‐Korean] conflict” poses many difficulties for negotiating with the North and fulfilling any agreement. Therefore, this research seeks to identify an appropriate orientation and effective negotiation policy with reference to North Korean negotiating behavior and the 1978 Netherlands International Workshop negotiation model. A strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis of the concerned party interests evaluates the feasibility of negotiations on forest carbon offset, indicates possible problems, and assesses the viability of different strategies. The strengths–opportunities (SO; maxi–maxi) strategy is relatively easy for South Korean participants, whereby unavoidable weaknesses and threats should be used as reference variables during negotiation and to minimize harm. Organic solidarity is needed among South Korean private and governmental participants. Furthermore, technical alternatives should be prepared at each stage for overall success.

中文翻译：

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森林碳补偿项目的不对称朝鲜间谈判：可行性，利益和参考变量

对于寻求遵守2015年《巴黎气候变化协议》的韩国中央/地方政府和私人公司而言，朝鲜森林是一种潜在的替代选择。然而，“旷日持久的（朝韩）冲突”给与朝鲜谈判和达成任何协议构成了许多困难。因此，本研究试图参考朝鲜的谈判行为和1978年荷兰国际研讨会的谈判模型，确定适当的方向和有效的谈判政策。对相关方利益的优势，劣势，机会和威胁（SWOT）分析评估了森林碳补偿谈判的可行性，指出了可能的问题，并评估了不同策略的可行性。优势－机会（SO；maxi–maxi）策略对韩国参与者而言相对容易，因此，在谈判期间应将不可避免的弱点和威胁用作参考变量，以最大程度地减少伤害。韩国私人和政府参与者之间需要有机团结。此外，应在每个阶段准备技术替代方案以取得全面成功。