This study uses employment data on California county-industry pairs (CIPs) between 1990 and 2016 to test whether minimum wage increases caused employment growth to slow most in the CIPs with a large share of low wage workers. Evidence supports the hypothesis, and we use the estimates to simulate the effect of a 10% increase in the minimum wage. The simulations suggest that a 10% increase could cause a 3.4% employment loss in the average CIP in California. The job loss is projected to be concentrated in two industries: accommodation and food services, and retail. While the most populated counties of California are expected to incur the largest employment loss in terms of the number of workers, the smaller counties generally experience a larger percentage point loss in employment due to the lower wages and the greater number of workers that would be affected by the minimum wage hike. Moreover, there is substantial variation across counties in terms of the percentage of jobs lost within a given industry.

中文翻译：

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加州最低工资标准在哪里？

本研究使用 1990 年至 2016 年间加州县工业对 (CIP) 的就业数据来测试最低工资的增加是否导致低工资工人占很大比例的 CIP 的就业增长最慢。证据支持这一假设，我们使用估计值来模拟最低工资提高 10% 的影响。模拟表明，在加利福尼亚州的平均 CIP 中，增加 10% 可能会导致 3.4% 的就业损失。预计失业将集中在两个行业：住宿和食品服务以及零售。虽然就工人数量而言，预计加利福尼亚州人口最多的县将遭受最大的就业损失，由于工资较低以及受最低工资上涨影响的工人数量较多，较小的县通常会遭受更大的就业损失。此外，在特定行业内失去工作的百分比方面，各县之间存在很大差异。