The change in forest ownership structures, the resulting fragmentation of forest properties and restitution processes have led to the emergence of organizations in Europe that are able to deal with these challenges. Changes in the timber selling process due to decisions of the German Federal Competition Authority have led first to uncertain conditions for forest management cooperatives (FMCs) and their members in the federal state of Baden-Wuerttemberg. In the course of this change, some FMCs have questioned their status quo while others have evolved under uncertain conditions. This paper aims to provide an overview of factors determining the further development of forest management cooperatives under uncertain conditions following the categories of actor-centered institutionalism (ACI). To be able to conduct a comprehensive political analysis of the changes taking place in the timber selling process, the ACI approach is used in conjunction with path dependency as the theoretical framework for this paper. Methodologically, it is based on a qualitative analysis of field protocols from four regional conferences in Baden-Wuerttemberg, Germany, involving a total of 140 participants in 2017. The results highlight that individual actors, the economic and social capabilities of FMCs, the existing constellations and interactions determine further developments under uncertainty. Legal certainty and in some cases the withdrawal of the state determine positively the dealing with uncertain situations. Foresters and their direction essentially determine the development. Furthermore, FMCs highlight that the cooperation with municipal foresters has a positive impact that will help deal with uncertainty in the future. A clear interest of cooperation and long-standing relationships also determine further developments under uncertain conditions.

森林所有权结构的变化，由此导致的森林财产分散和恢复原状导致欧洲能够应对这些挑战的组织的出现。由于德国联邦竞争管理局的决定，木材销售过程发生了变化，这首先导致森林管理合作社（FMC）及其成员在巴登-符腾堡州的状态不确定。在这种变化过程中，一些FMC质疑其现状，而另一些则在不确定的条件下发展。本文旨在概述在不确定条件下遵循以行为者为中心的制度主义（ACI）类型决定森林管理合作社进一步发展的因素。为了能够对木材销售过程中发生的变化进行全面的政治分析，ACI方法与路径依赖结合用作本文的理论框架。从方法上讲，该方法基于对德国巴登-符腾堡州四个区域会议的现场协议的定性分析，2017年共有140名代表参加。相互作用决定了不确定性下的进一步发展。法律上的确定性以及在某些情况下国家的撤退，肯定会决定如何应对不确定的局势。林农及其方向从根本上决定了发展。此外，FMC强调与市政林业者的合作将产生积极影响，这将有助于应对未来的不确定性。合作和长期关系的明确兴趣也决定了在不确定条件下的进一步发展。