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Assessment of the Baltic Sea Climate Change Impact on Health
Pure and Applied Geophysics ( IF 1.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-08 , DOI: 10.1007/s00024-020-02650-6
Andrei V. Tarasov , Rofail S. Rakhmanov , Elena S. Bogomolova , Yuri G. Piskarev

Student morbidity during adaptation to the weather and climate conditions of the Baltic Sea is evaluated from 2012 to 2017 in this study. The research used the Steadman apparent temperature method to analyse the health impact of physical factors and investigated student morbidity in three Kaliningrad universities that had different percentage responses to the local climate change. Apparent temperatures (T) with different combinations of meteorological parameters significantly deviated from monthly average temperatures. For the average temperature and maximum wind speed, apparent temperatures were found to be negative from September to March. In January and February, they were 7.8–16.8 times lower than the average T. With humidity (e.g., RH) unchanged, different combinations of physical factor posed no danger to a person dressed for the weather conditions. In January, at the minimum T and maximum wind speed (Uh), frostbite was possible after 20–30 of exposure. Apparent T close to the threshold value was observed in December and February. The climate of the Kaliningrad enclave is not the best for human health conditions. In the winter, there are serious risks of frostbite in uncovered parts of the body when threshold conditions were not met. Results suggested that disease susceptibility in non-local students representing all the universities was 1.2–1.7 times higher than these of locals students. Also, a relationship between morbidity and percentage of non-local students is obtained, suggesting that the weather and climate conditions will likely adversely affect human health during climate change adaptation that can likely increase the morbidity rate, particularly among the students.

中文翻译:

评估波罗的海气候变化对健康的影响

本研究评估了 2012 年至 2017 年适应波罗的海天气和气候条件期间的学生发病率。该研究使用 Steadman 表观温度方法来分析物理因素对健康的影响,并调查了三所加里宁格勒大学对当地气候变化有不同百分比响应的学生发病率。具有不同气象参数组合的表观温度(T)显着偏离月平均温度。对于平均温度和最大风速,9 月至 3 月的表观温度为负值。在 1 月和 2 月,它们比平均 T 低 7.8-16.8 倍。在湿度(例如,RH)不变的情况下,身体因素的不同组合不会对根据天气条件穿着的人造成危险。一月份,在最小 T 和最大风速 (Uh) 下,暴露 20-30 年后可能会冻伤。在 12 月和 2 月观察到接近阈值的表观 T。加里宁格勒飞地的气候对人类健康状况来说并不是最好的。在冬天,如果不满足阈值条件,身体裸露的部位就有严重的冻伤风险。结果表明,代表所有大学的非本地学生的疾病易感性是本地学生的 1.2-1.7 倍。此外,发病率与非本地学生的百分比之间的关系也得到了,
更新日期:2021-01-08
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