Based on the adaptive analysis paradigm, this paper constructs an evaluation index system and an evaluation model of the level of industrial ecology of a restricted development zone from the perspective of the industrial system and of the environmental system, and studies the spatial-temporal differentiation characteristics and the driving factors of the level of industrial ecology of the restricted development zone of the Shandong Province, China, by using a variety of measurement methods. The results show that: 1) In the temporal dimension, the level of industrial ecology of the research area increased from 2005 to 2017, while in the regional dimension, it was higher in the eastern coastal areas, followed by the northwestern area and the southwestern area; 2) In the spatial dimension, from 2005 to 2017 the level of industrial ecology of the research area had a clear spatial dependence, and the regional spatial agglomeration of the restricted development zones with similar industrial ecology levels become increasingly evident; 3) On the whole, the industrial ecology level in the study area had a clear spatial differentiation pattern, as it was higher in the north and in the east and lower in the south and in the west. Moreover, its evolution model changed from a ‘three-core driven model’ to a ‘spatial scattered mosaic distribution model’, and then to a ‘single-core driven model’; 4) Industrial ecology was positively correlated with economic development, foreign investment, science and technology, and negatively correlated with the government role, while industrial structure and environmental regulation failed to pass the statistical significance test.

中文翻译：

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适应性视角下限制开发区产业生态的时空分异及驱动因素——以山东为例

本文基于适应性分析范式，从产业系统和环境系统的角度构建了限制开发区产业生态水平的评价指标体系和评价模型，研究了限制开发区的时空分异特征。山东省限制开发区产业生态水平的驱动因素，采用多种测算方法。结果表明：1）在时间维度上，2005-2017年研究区产业生态水平有所提高，而在区域维度上，东部沿海地区较高，其次是西北地区和西南地区。区域; 2）在空间维度上，2005-2017年研究区产业生态水平具有明显的空间依赖性，产业生态水平相近的限制开发区区域空间集聚日益明显；3）总体上，研究区产业生态水平具有明显的空间分异格局，北东高，南西低。而且，它的演化模型从“三核驱动模型”变为“空间分散镶嵌分布模型”，再到“单核驱动模型”；4）产业生态与经济发展、外资、科技呈正相关，与政府作用呈负相关，