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The Effect of Immigration on Labor Market Transitions of Native-Born Unemployed in the United States
Journal of Labor Research ( IF 1.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-17 , DOI: 10.1007/s12122-020-09304-5
Fernando Rios-Avila , Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza

Unemployed workers are the group most likely to be affected by the presence of immigrants in their local labor markets since they are actively competing for job opportunities. Yet, little is known about the effect of immigration on labor market opportunities of the unemployed. Using a sample of unemployed native-born citizens from the monthly Current Population Survey from 2001 to 2015 and state level immigration statistics, we employ a multinomial model in the framework of a discrete hazard model with competing risks to examine the effects of immigration on the transition out of unemployment. The results suggest that immigration does not affect attrition not the probabilities of native-born workers finding a job. Instead, we find that immigration is associated with smaller probabilities of remaining unemployed.

中文翻译:

移民对美国本土失业者劳动力市场转型的影响

失业工人是最有可能受到当地劳动力市场移民影响的群体,因为他们正在积极竞争就业机会。然而,人们对移民对失业者劳动力市场机会的影响知之甚少。使用来自 2001 年至 2015 年每月当前人口调查和州级移民统计数据的失业本地出生公民样本,我们在具有竞争风险的离散风险模型框架中采用多项模型来检查移民对转型的影响脱离失业。结果表明,移民不会影响减员,而不是本地出生的工人找到工作的概率。相反,我们发现移民与保持失业的可能性较小有关。
更新日期:2020-07-17
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