Objectives

To examine the short-term effects of admission requirements for upper secondary vocational education and training (VET) on enrollment and criminal offending among academically low-achieving boys.

Methods

We apply multi-group difference-in-differences models to full population data and analyze an educational policy reform in Denmark (N = 60,759).

Results

The reform caused a 16 percentage points lower enrollment in VET among academically low-achieving boys, and their risk of being charged with a crime increased by up to two percentage points 9 months after the end of compulsory school. However, after 12 months, the effect on criminal charges disappeared.

Conclusion

In the education-crime nexus, educational enrollment in upper secondary education is an understudied margin, which has important implications for both scholars and policy-makers. Limitations include the short follow-up period and that the analyses examine effects for boys only.

中文翻译：

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退出教育系统：使用自然实验评估对男孩的后果

目标

研究高中职业教育和培训（VET）的入学要求对学业成绩欠佳的男孩的入学率和犯罪行为的短期影响。

方法

我们将多组差异模型应用于全部人口数据，并分析丹麦的教育政策改革（N = 60,759）。

结果

这项改革使学业不佳的男孩的VET入学率降低了16个百分点，而义务教育结束后9个月，他们被控犯罪的风险增加了两个百分点。但是，在12个月后，对刑事指控的影响消失了。

结论

在教育与犯罪的关系中，高中阶段的教育入学率是未被充分研究的范围，这对学者和政策制定者都具有重要意义。局限性包括随访时间短，分析仅检查对男孩的影响。