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Idiosyncratic momentum on the JSE
Investment Analysts Journal ( IF 0.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-28 , DOI: 10.1080/10293523.2020.1783864
Daniel Page 1 , David McClelland 1 , Christo Auret 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT Idiosyncratic momentum, like price momentum, is a trading strategy that considers a share’s recent relative performance over the short to medium term. Idiosyncratic momentum differs from price momentum as it uses residual returns post-orthogonalization on a single or multi-factor asset pricing model. Recent literature has shown that idiosyncratic momentum consistently outperforms price momentum on a risk-adjusted basis, is less prone to long-term reversal and has been proven successful in regions that have previously shown to have a non-existent price momentum premium. Previous studies attribute the success of idiosyncratic momentum to ‘underreaction’, whereby market participants tend to underreact to idiosyncratic momentum signals. We attempt to determine whether idiosyncratic momentum displays the same positive attributes found in international literature. We find that idiosyncratic momentum is superior to price momentum in terms of performance and explanatory power. The results reject a risk-based explanation of idiosyncratic momentum as minimising factor exposure (by using residual returns) improves performance. However, we find limited evidence of underreaction driving idiosyncratic momentum. Notwithstanding the lack of an a priori exposition of idiosyncratic momentum’s existence, the results provide concrete evidence of idiosyncratic momentum’s superiority over price momentum on the JSE, a finding important for both practitioners and academics alike.

中文翻译:

JSE的特质动量

摘要与价格动量一样,异质动量是一种交易策略,其考虑了股票在短期到中期的近期相对表现。异质动量不同于价格动量,因为它在正交化后将残差收益用于单因素或多因素资产定价模型。最近的文献表明,在经过风险调整的基础上,特质动量始终优于价格动量,不易长期反转,并且在以前没有价格动量溢价的地区被证明是成功的。先前的研究将特殊动量的成功归因于“反应不足”,因此市场参与者往往对特殊动量信号反应不足。我们试图确定特质动量是否显示出国际文献中相同的积极属性。我们发现,就性能和解释力而言,特质动量优于价格动量。该结果拒绝了基于特质动量的基于风险的解释,因为最小化要素暴露(通过使用剩余收益)可以提高绩效。但是,我们发现反应不足推动特质动量的证据有限。尽管没有先验地说明特质动量的存在,但结果提供了特质动量在价格上优于JSE上的价格动量的证据,这一发现对从业者和学者均重要。我们发现,就性能和解释力而言,特质动量优于价格动量。该结果拒绝了基于特质动量的基于风险的解释,因为最小化要素暴露(通过使用剩余收益)可以提高绩效。但是,我们发现反应不足推动特质动量的证据有限。尽管没有先验地说明特质动量的存在,但结果提供了特质动量在价格上优于JSE上的价格动量的证据,这一发现对从业者和学者均重要。我们发现,就性能和解释力而言,特质动量优于价格动量。该结果拒绝了基于特质动量的基于风险的解释,因为最小化要素暴露(通过使用剩余收益)可以提高绩效。但是,我们发现反应不足推动特质动量的证据有限。尽管没有先验地说明特质动量的存在,但结果提供了特质动量在价格上优于JSE上的价格动量的证据,这一发现对从业者和学者均重要。
更新日期:2020-07-28
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