ABSTRACT

The share of wind power in energy consumption is continuously increasing at the national level as well as global. Many national strategies plan an increase in the installed capacity of wind farms in the future. Accordingly, this paper provides an assessment of spatial suitability for wind farm siting and estimation of wind power potential for the territory of Serbia. The unsuitable areas (75.91% of the territory) are extracted based on sociopolitical, physical, conservation, and pseudo-economic constraints (22 factors). The available land (24.09%) was evaluated applying the multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) in the geographical information system (GIS) environment using several criteria (wind speed, elevation, slope, proximity to roads and power lines, distance from urban areas, land cover). After correction with the suitability factor, the estimated technical generation power potential is 97.57 TWh, i.e. 82.93 TWh with 15% included losses. The most prospective areas for the development of wind projects are the north (Bačka region), northeast (Banat region, along the lower Danube river valley), and east of Serbia (mountains region and Negotinska Krajina region).

摘要

在国家乃至全球范围内，风能在能源消耗中所占的份额正在不断增加。许多国家战略计划在未来增加风电场的装机容量。因此，本文提供了针对风电场选址的空间适用性评估以及塞尔维亚境内风力发电潜力的估算。根据社会政治，自然，保护和伪经济约束条件（22个因素）提取了不合适的区域（占领土的75.91％）。在地理信息系统（GIS）环境中使用多种标准（风速，海拔，坡度，道路和电力线的接近程度，距市区的距离），通过多标准决策分析（MCDA）对可用土地（24.09％）进行了评估，土地覆盖）。经过适应性因子校正后，估计的技术发电潜力为97.57 TWh，即82.93 TWh，其中包含15％的损耗。风能项目发展的最有希望的地区是北部（Bačka地区），东北部（Banat地区，沿多瑙河下游河谷）和塞尔维亚东部（山脉地区和Negotinska Krajina地区）。