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Integrating local pore water pressure monitoring in territorial early warning systems for weather-induced landslides
Landslides ( IF 6.7 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-05 , DOI: 10.1007/s10346-020-01599-w
Gaetano Pecoraro , Michele Calvello

A methodology designed to integrate widespread meteorological monitoring and pore water pressure measurements is proposed. The procedure is tested in 30 hydrological basins highly susceptible to weather-induced landslides in Norway. The following data are used: a catalog of 125 weather-induced landslides in soils registered between January 2013 and June 2017, widespread meteorological monitoring data employed in a territorial warning model, and pore water pressure measurements retrieved from boreholes installed for a variety of geotechnical projects. The territorial warning model is initially applied to identify the warning events and the correspondent warning level in the test areas over the analysis period. Afterwards, a method for assessing the territorial warning events by analyzing the trends of the monitored pore water pressures is proposed. Finally, an augmented territorial warning model is calibrated and validated using statistical indicators widely adopted in literature. The analysis of the results reveals a satisfactory correspondence between days with landslides and the warning levels provided by the augmented territorial warning model. A final comparison between the results of the model calibration and the model validation highlighted the consistency of the model performance, once the three model parameters are adequately set.

中文翻译:

将当地孔隙水压力监测整合到天气诱发滑坡的领土预警系统中

提出了一种旨在将广泛的气象监测和孔隙水压力测量相结合的方法。该程序在挪威的 30 个高度易受天气引起的滑坡影响的水文盆地中进行了测试。使用了以下数据:2013 年 1 月至 2017 年 6 月期间登记的 125 次天气引起的土壤滑坡目录、用于领土预警模型的广泛气象监测数据,以及从为各种岩土工程安装的钻孔中获取的孔隙水压力测量值. 地域预警模型最初用于识别分析时段内测试区域的预警事件和对应的预警级别。随后,提出了一种通过分析监测到的孔隙水压力变化趋势来评估领土预警事件的方法。最后,使用文献中广泛采用的统计指标校准和验证增强的领土警告模型。结果分析表明,滑坡天数与增强领土预警模型提供的预警级别之间存在令人满意的对应关系。一旦三个模型参数被充分设置,模型校准和模型验证结果之间的最终比较突出了模型性能的一致性。
更新日期:2021-01-05
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