In 2015 the Norwegian police initiated its first national intelligence project—Operation Migrant. One central aim was to predict crime challenges related to increased migration to improve future resource allocation. Based on qualitative interviews with those managing the operation, this article foregrounds the question of how attempts to reduce uncertainties and manage what is perceived as migration-related threats and risks, shape not only ideas of risk in policing of migration but also influence the importance of precautionary logic in regular policing. First, we analyse how knowledge production built on risk management and sharing of risk intelligence products are co-produced by intelligence staff and decision-makers. Thereafter, we discuss paradoxical outcomes of a calculated and precautionary logic applied to policing migrants. Concretely, the article focuses on how anticipatory knowledge practices seem to enlarge the space for probabilities, making it even more complex and contested to reduce and control uncertainty.

中文翻译：

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移民犯罪前和治安管理：预期行动满足关注管理

2015 年，挪威警方启动了第一个国家情报项目——移民行动。一个中心目标是预测与移民增加相关的犯罪挑战，以改善未来的资源分配。基于对运营管理人员的定性访谈，本文突出了以下问题：尝试减少不确定性和管理被视为与移民相关的威胁和风险，不仅塑造移民监管中的风险观念，而且影响移民政策的重要性。常规警务中的预防逻辑。首先，我们分析了基于风险管理和风险情报产品共享的知识生产是如何由情报人员和决策者共同生产的。此后，我们讨论了应用于监管移民的计算和预防逻辑的矛盾结果。具体来说，