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Understanding contrasting narratives on carbon dioxide capture and storage for Dutch industry using system dynamics
International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control ( IF 4.6 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-29 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2020.103235
Zahra Janipour , Floris Swennenhuis , Vincent de Gooyert , Heleen de Coninck

Carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) can reduce CO2 emissions, but there is disagreement on its role. The disagreement is reflected in stark differences in stakeholders’ narratives on CCS. In the Netherlands, one extreme narrative focusses on CCS as part of a just transition and another on CCS as contributing to carbon lock-in. These narratives reflect different expectations of dynamic feedbacks around CCS deployment in the specific Dutch industrial context. This paper describes an alternative narrative that can advance the debate on what role CCS may play. Qualitative system dynamics based on interviews with experts is applied to identify the systemic feedback mechanisms that drive the dynamics of CCS in the Dutch industrial system transition, according to the two narratives. We find that CCS may reinforce carbon lock-in through the feedback mechanisms of legitimising, crowding out, and integration, and that CCS may play a part in a just climate transition through employment, economic, and environmental mechanisms. We combine these mechanisms into our alternative framing of CCS that could align the interests of different stakeholders: regulating CCS carefully to maximise its social and climate benefits and minimise the build-up of vested interests and carbon lock-in.



中文翻译:

使用系统动力学了解荷兰工业在二氧化碳捕集和封存方面的不同叙述

二氧化碳捕集与封存(CCS)可以减少CO 2排放,但在其作用上存在分歧。利益相关者对CCS的叙述截然不同,这反映了分歧。在荷兰,一种极端的叙述将CCS作为公正过渡的一部分,而另一种叙述则将CCS视为对碳锁定的贡献。这些叙述反映了在特定的荷兰工业环境中,有关CCS部署动态反馈的不同期望。本文介绍了一种替代性叙述,可以促进关于CCS可能扮演的角色的争论。根据这两种说法,基于专家访谈的定性系统动力学可用于识别系统反馈机制,这些机制可推动荷兰工业系统转型中CCS的动力学。我们发现CCS可能会通过合法化,挤出,和整合,CCS可以通过就业,经济和环境机制在公正的气候过渡中发挥作用。我们将这些机制结合到CCS的替代框架中,以适应不同利益相关者的利益:仔细监管CCS,以最大程度地发挥其社会和气候效益,并最大限度地减少既得利益和碳锁定。

更新日期:2020-12-29
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