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IMPACT OF HOUSING AFFORDABILITY AND OTHER SOCIOECONOMIC VARIABLES ON INTERNAL MIGRATION IN LITHUANIA
International Journal of Strategic Property Management ( IF 2.0 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-30 , DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2020.13604
Alfredas Laurinavičius 1 , Antanas Laurinavičius 2 , Algimantas Laurinavičius 2
Affiliation  

The way housing affordability/wages/unemployment influenced internal migration of the population in Lithuania within the period of 2005−2019 is being analyzed in the article. Correlation-regression analysis is used to determine the relationships between the analyzed social phenomena. First, the correlation between housing affordability/wages/unemployment (their changes) and internal migration indicators is calculated, and the impact of data delays is assessed. Later simple and multiple regression equations are constructed. The conditions under which and how strongly housing affordability/wages/unemployment can influence population migration decisions have been identified in the analysis. Higher affordability of housing/wages is positively related to the number of people who moved to a certain Lithuanian city from other places in Lithuania per year. On the contrary, negative dependence of the number of people who moved to a certain city from other places in Lithuania on the unemployment rate in the city where those people moved in have been recorded. Both, affordability of housing and the unemployment rate explain actually 73−88 percent of variable dispersion of the internal migration in Vilnius, Kaunas and Klaipėda.

中文翻译:

住房负担能力和其他社会经济变量对立陶宛内部迁移的影响

本文分析了住房负担能力/工资/失业影响立陶宛2005-2019年人口内部迁移的方式。相关回归分析用于确定所分析的社会现象之间的关系。首先,计算住房负担能力/工资/失业(其变化)与内部迁移指标之间的相关性,并评估数据延迟的影响。随后构造简单和多元回归方程。分析中确定了住房负担能力/工资/失业对人口迁移决策产生影响的条件和强度。住房/工资负担能力的提高与每年从立陶宛其他地方移居立陶宛城市的人数成正比。相反,已经记录了从立陶宛其他地方移居到某个城市的人数与这些人所移居城市的失业率之间的负相关关系。住房的可负担性和失业率实际上都解释了维尔纽斯,考纳斯和克莱佩达的内部移民变动分散的73-88%。
更新日期:2020-09-30
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