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Flood disaster and GDP growth in Malaysia
European Law Review ( IF 0.8 ) Pub Date : 2016-03-10 , DOI: 10.21859/eulawrev-08023
M. Shaari Mai Syaheera , Mohd Zaini Abd Karim , Bakti Hassan Basri

This paper seeks to examine the impact of flood disaster on GDP growth in Malaysia for the period of 1960 to 2013 by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration and the error correction model (ECM) for short run relationship.ADF, PP and KPSS unit root test examines the stationarity of the series. The results show that the series are cointegrated.The findings suggest that all four flood variables significantly affecting GDP growth in both long run and short run.The results of the study have important implications for the GDP growth in both long run and short run.First, the government should have a proper flood mitigation plan so as to avoid the negative impact of flood on GDP growth in the long run.Second, prepare sufficient stockpiles of basic necessities in a safe place to avoid shortages and temporary setback in the short run.

中文翻译:

马来西亚的洪水灾害和 GDP 增长

本文旨在通过应用自回归分布滞后 (ARDL) 边界测试方法进行协整和误差校正模型 (ECM) 来研究洪水灾害对 1960 年至 2013 年期间马来西亚 GDP 增长的影响。 ADF 、PP 和 KPSS 单位根检验检验序列的平稳性。结果表明,该序列是协整的。研究结果表明,所有四个洪水变量都显着影响了长期和短期的 GDP 增长。研究结果对长期和短期的 GDP 增长都有重要意义。第一。 ,政府应该有一个适当的洪水缓解计划,以避免洪水对长期GDP增长的负面影响。 第二,
更新日期:2016-03-10
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