I examine how exposure to conflict affected household-level access to cash transfers after the 2010 floods in Pakistan. Using instrumental variables estimation to overcome the endogeneity of conflict exposure and access to aid, I find that conflict reduced households’ access to two large government-run cash transfer programs— namely, the Citizens Damage Compensation Program and the Benazir Income Support Program —but had no effect on nonstate transfers. These effects are driven by the likely presence of the Taliban and affiliate groups, suggesting that attempts to deepen state presence in contested areas through public cash transfers may be resisted by rebel groups, resulting in lower coverage.

中文翻译：

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灾难、冲突和现金转移：暴力如何影响巴基斯坦获得援助的机会

我研究了在 2010 年巴基斯坦洪水之后，冲突对家庭层面的现金转移支付的影响。使用工具变量估计来克服冲突暴露和获得援助的内生性，我发现冲突减少了家庭获得两个大型政府运营的现金转移计划的机会——即公民损害赔偿计划和贝娜齐尔收入支持计划——但对非国有转移没有影响。这些影响是由塔利班及其附属团体的可能存在所驱动的，这表明叛乱团体可能会抵制通过公共现金转移加深国家在有争议地区存在的企图，从而导致覆盖率降低。