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Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments
Decision Analysis ( IF 2.5 ) Pub Date : 2019-09-01 , DOI: 10.1287/deca.2018.0388 Yuyu Fan 1 , David V. Budescu 2 , David Mandel 3 , Mark Himmelstein 2
Decision Analysis ( IF 2.5 ) Pub Date : 2019-09-01 , DOI: 10.1287/deca.2018.0388 Yuyu Fan 1 , David V. Budescu 2 , David Mandel 3 , Mark Himmelstein 2
Affiliation
Human forecasts and other probabilistic judgments can be improved by elicitation and aggregation methods. Recent work on elicitation shows that deriving probability estimates from relative judgment...
中文翻译:
通过直接和比率概率判断的相干加权来提高准确性
人类的预测和其他概率判断可以通过启发和汇总方法来改进。最近关于启发的工作表明,从相对判断中推导概率估计...
更新日期:2019-09-01
中文翻译:
通过直接和比率概率判断的相干加权来提高准确性
人类的预测和其他概率判断可以通过启发和汇总方法来改进。最近关于启发的工作表明,从相对判断中推导概率估计...