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Incremental Contributions of Static and Dynamic Sexual Violence Risk Assessment: Integrating Static-99R and VRS-SO Common Language Risk Levels
Criminal Justice and Behavior ( IF 2.562 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-26 , DOI: 10.1177/0093854820974400
Mark E. Olver 1 , Sharon M. Kelley 2 , Drew A. Kingston 3, 4 , Sarah M. Beggs Christofferson 5 , David Thornton 6 , Stephen C. P. Wong 1, 7
Affiliation  

We examined the incremental contributions of static and dynamic sexual violence risk assessment in a multisite sample of 1,289 men treated for sexual offending. The study extends validation work that established new risk categories and recidivism estimates for the Violence Risk Scale–Sexual Offense version (VRS-SO), using the risk assessment common language (CL) framework. Different rates of sexual recidivism were observed at different thresholds of static risk (Static-99R) as a function of dynamic risk and treatment change, particularly for men who were actuarially above or well above average risk (Levels IVa and IVb, respectively). A framework integrating CL risk levels for Static-99R and VRS-SO dynamic scores into overall CL risk levels is presented. We discuss implications for dynamic sexual violence risk assessment regarding the language used for risk communication and the importance of dynamic risk instruments in sexual violence evaluations, particularly when credible agents of risk change may be present.



中文翻译:

静态和动态性暴力风险评估的增量贡献:整合Static-99R和VRS-SO公共语言的风险水平

我们在一个由1289名因性犯罪治疗的男性多站点样本中研究了静态和动态性暴力风险评估的增量贡献。该研究扩展了验证工作,使用风险评估通用语言(CL)框架为暴力风险量表-性犯罪版本(VRS-SO)建立了新的风险类别和累犯估计。根据动态风险和治疗变化的函数,在不同的静态风险阈值(Static-99R)下观察到不同的性累犯率,尤其是对于精算高于或高于平均风险的男性(分别为IVa和IVb级)。提出了一个框架,该框架将Static-99R和VRS-SO动态评分的CL风险等级集成到总体CL风险等级中。

更新日期:2020-12-23
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