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The application of Newton and Swoope's geographical profile to serial killers
Journal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling ( IF 0.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-10-18 , DOI: 10.1002/jip.1566
Daniel Salafranca Barreda 1
Affiliation  

Quite possibly, the first application of geographic analysis to identify and characterise the spatial behaviour of the offender concerning the crime scene was developed in 1980 by Milton Newton. Although previous studies have used Newton and Swoope's geoforensic process (Kent, 2009, Essays on the integration of anisotropic landscapes within contemporary geographic profiling models [LSU doctoral dissertations]; Leitner et al., 2007, Police Practice and Research, 8[4], 359–370) to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm, there are, to our knowledge, no investigations that have validated the procedure with cases of serial murderers. The main objective of the study is to analyse a sample of 41 serial killers with a minimum number of six crimes and to evaluate the method proposed by Newton (1988, Geographical discovery of the residence of an unknown dispersing localized serial murder). The results confirm only Newton's first assumption in which after the fifth crime in the series, the estimated ‘haven’ is close to the actual ‘haven’, ruling out that the search area becomes progressively smaller and that the ‘haven’ is located in the search area.

中文翻译:

牛顿和索普的地理特征在连环杀手中的应用

很有可能,Milton Newton于1980年首次将地理分析应用于识别和表征犯罪者在犯罪现场的空间行为。尽管以前的研究使用了牛顿和索沃普的地质取证过程(肯特,2009年,关于在现代地理分布模型中整合各向异性景观的论文[LSU博士论文]; Leitner等人,2007年,《警察实践与研究》,第8页[4], 359-370)来验证该算法的有效性,据我们所知,尚无任何调查可验证连环凶手案的程序。这项研究的主要目的是分析41名连环杀手的样本,其中最少有六种犯罪,并评估Newton(1988,未知分散地域性系列谋杀的住所地理发现)。结果仅证实了牛顿的第一个假设,在该假设中,在系列的第五次犯罪之后,估计的“避风港”接近实际的“避风港”,排除了搜索区域逐渐变小并且“避风港”位于搜索区域。
更新日期:2020-10-18
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