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Informed Trading in the Stock Market and Option-Price Discovery
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis ( IF 3.7 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-04 , DOI: 10.1017/s0022109020000629
Pierre Collin-Dufresne , Vyacheslav Fos , Dmitry Muravyev

When activist shareholders file Schedule 13D filings, the average stock-price volatility drops by approximately 10%. Prior to filing days, volatility information is reflected in option prices. Using a comprehensive sample of trades by Schedule 13D filers that reveals on what days and in what markets they trade, we show that on days when activists accumulate shares, option-implied volatility decreases, implied volatility skew increases, and implied volatility time slope increases. The evidence is consistent with a theoretical model where it is common knowledge that informed trading occurs only in the stock market and market makers update option prices based on stock-price and order-flow dynamics.

中文翻译:

股票市场的知情交易和期权价格发现

当激进股东提交附表 13D 文件时,平均股价波动率下降约 10%。在申报日之前,波动性信息反映在期权价格中。使用附表 13D 申报者提供的全面交易样本,揭示他们在哪些日子和在哪些市场进行交易,我们表明在激进分子积累的日子里分享,期权隐含波动率降低,隐含波动率偏斜增加,隐含波动率时间斜率增加。证据与理论模型一致,众所周知,知情交易仅发生在股票市场中,做市商根据股票价格和订单流动态更新期权价格。
更新日期:2020-08-04
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