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The role of rurality in determining the economy-wide impacts of a natural disaster
Economic Systems Research ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-09-06 , DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1814206
Andrea Bonfiglio 1 , Silvia Coderoni 2 , Roberto Esposti 2 , Edoardo Baldoni 2
Affiliation  

Rural areas may be highly vulnerable to natural disasters because of their lower economic diversification and a higher incidence of sectors that may suffer from a larger impact produced by these adverse events. In addition, because of their trade dependence, local effects can be transmitted to neighbouring regions more diffusely so amplifying total impacts. This paper aims to quantify the economy-wide impacts generated by the earthquake sequence that mostly hit a markedly rural area of Central Italy in 2016–2017. To this purpose, a non-linear programming model based on a multi-regional IO table with a mixed territorial scale is adopted. Results indicate that some negative effects are transmitted outside the seismic area and a few positive effects are also produced. Moreover, they confirm that rural areas are more vulnerable to disasters and that the effects of disasters in these areas are more likely to be transmitted to the neighbouring space.



中文翻译:

农村在确定自然灾害对整个经济的影响方面的作用

农村地区可能非常容易受到自然灾害的影响,因为它们的经济多样化程度较低,而且受这些不利事件影响较大的部门的发生率较高。此外,由于它们对贸易的依赖,当地影响可以更广泛地传播到邻近地区,从而放大总影响。本文旨在量化 2016 年至 2017 年主要袭击意大利中部显着农村地区的地震序列对经济产生的影响。为此,采用了基于混合地域尺度的多区域IO表的非线性规划模型。结果表明,一些负面影响传递到震区之外,也产生了一些正面影响。而且,

更新日期:2020-09-06
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