Postindustrialization and occupational change considerably complicate partisan politics of the welfare state. This article asks about the determinants of contemporary social democratic labor market policy. We argue that the composition of their support base is a critical constraint and empirically demonstrate that the actual electoral clout of different voter segments decisively affects policy outcomes under left government. We calculate the electoral relevance of two crucial subgroups of the social democratic coalition, labor market insiders and outsiders, in 19 European democracies and combine these indicators with original data capturing the specific content of labor market reforms. The analysis reveals considerable levels of responsiveness and demonstrates that relative electoral relevance is consistently related to policy outcomes. Social democratic governments with a stronger support base among the atypically employed push labor market reforms on their behalf—and vice versa. Our findings have important implications for our understanding of policy-making in postindustrial societies.

中文翻译：

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内部-外部代表和社会民主劳动力市场政策

后工业化和职业变化使福利国家的党派政治变得相当复杂。本文询问当代社会民主劳动力市场政策的决定因素。我们认为，他们的支持基础的构成是一个关键的制约因素，并从经验上证明，不同选民群体的实际选举影响力决定性地影响左翼政府下的政策结果。我们计算了 19 个欧洲民主国家中社会民主联盟的两个关键子群体（劳动力市场内部人士和外部人士）的选举相关性，并将这些指标与捕捉劳动力市场改革具体内容的原始数据相结合。分析揭示了相当程度的响应能力，并表明相对选举的相关性始终与政策结果相关。在非典型就业者中拥有更强大支持基础的社会民主政府代表他们推动劳动力市场改革——反之亦然。我们的发现对我们理解后工业社会的政策制定具有重要意义。