The discipline of project management has evolved over the years, yet projects still run into trouble, failing entirely, running late, or not delivering expected benefits. Program and portfolio managers need assistance identifying potentially troubled projects while they are being delivered, allowing time to intervene. We report on our investigation of whether project status reports from IT project portfolios can be used to predict projects that may be trending into trouble ahead of time. We found that this initial approach resulted in a high degree of accurate predictions opening new avenues of research in predicting project progress and health.

中文翻译：

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主动监控大型项目组合

多年来，项目管理学科不断发展，但项目仍然遇到麻烦、完全失败、迟到或无法交付预期收益。项目和项目组合经理需要帮助，在项目交付时识别可能存在问题的项目，以便有时间进行干预。我们报告了我们对 IT 项目组合中的项目状态报告是否可用于提前预测可能会出现问题的项目的调查。我们发现这种初始方法产生了高度准确的预测，为预测项目进展和健康状况开辟了新的研究途径。