ABSTRACT

After Kremlin policymakers decided to incorporate the territory of Crimea into Russia, updates on public attitudes in Russian-speaking communities elsewhere in Ukraine would have been in high demand. Because social media users produce content in order to communicate ideas to their social networks, online political discourse can provide important clues about the political dispositions of communities. We map the evolution of Russian-speakers’ attitudes, expressed on social media, across the course of the conflict as Russian analysts might have observed them at the time. Results suggest that the Russian-Ukrainian interstate border only moved as far as their military could have advanced while incurring no occupation costs – Crimea, and no further.

摘要

克里姆林宫决策者决定将克里米亚领土并入俄罗斯后，对乌克兰其他地方讲俄语的社区的公众态度的更新将是迫切需要的。因为社交媒体用户产生内容是为了将思想传达到他们的社交网络，所以在线政治言论可以提供有关社区政治倾向的重要线索。我们绘制了在整个冲突过程中社交媒体上表达的俄语发言人态度的演变，正如俄罗斯分析家当时可能观察到的那样。结果表明，俄罗斯和乌克兰的州际边界仅向他们的军队推进了尽可能远的距离，而没有产生任何占领费用-克里米亚，而且没有进一步的增加。