In this article, we investigate the effects of a massive displacement of workers from a war‐torn economy on the economy of a neighbouring country. Applying a general equilibrium approach to the Lebanese economy, we explore effects from various components of the crisis on the labour market, the production apparatus and macroeconomic indicators. Along with previous literature, our findings suggest limited or no adverse effects on high‐skilled native workers, but a negative impact on the most vulnerable Lebanese workers. When aid takes the form of investment subsidies, significantly better growth and labour market prospects arise, recalling the necessity of complementing humanitarian aid with development aid to succeed in achieving long‐term objectives. This may however not be politically viable in a context where refugees are considered as temporary.

中文翻译：

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邻国叙利亚难民危机的经济学：黎巴嫩案例

在本文中，我们研究了饱受战乱之苦的工人大规模流离失所对邻国经济的影响。我们将一般均衡方法应用于黎巴嫩经济，我们研究了危机的各个组成部分对劳动力市场，生产设备和宏观经济指标的影响。与以前的文献一起，我们的研究结果表明，对高技能的本地工人的不利影响有限或没有，但对最脆弱的黎巴嫩工人却有不利影响。当援助以投资补贴的形式出现时，就会出现显着改善的增长和劳动力市场前景，回想起必须以发展援助补充人道主义援助，以成功实现长期目标。但是，在将难民视为临时人员的情况下，这在政治上可能不可行。