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Long-term exposure to malaria and violence in Africa*
Economic Policy ( IF 4.5 ) Pub Date : 2018-07-01 , DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eiy008
Matteo Cervellati 1 , Elena Esposito 1 , Uwe Sunde 1 , Simona Valmori 1
Affiliation  

This paper explores the existence of a link between the long-term exposure to malaria and the, frequency of civil conflicts in Africa. Using geographically disaggregated data at the level of grid cells the analysis provides empirical evidence for a hump-shaped relationship between the long run stability and force malaria transmission and the incidence of civil violence. In line with epidemiological predictions about the acquired immunity to malaria, cells that are characterized by intermediate malaria exposure exhibit higher conflict incidence than cells with very low or very high malaria exposure. We explore the role of the expansion of anti-malaria policies after 2005 in the context of the Roll Back Malaria programme. The results provide suggestive evidence that anti-malaria interventions reduced the incidence of civil violence, but only in areas where adults lack acquired immunity to malaria.

中文翻译:

非洲长期接触疟疾和暴力*

本文探讨了长期暴露于疟疾与非洲内乱发生频率之间的联系。使用网格单元级别的按地理位置分类的数据,该分析为长期稳定性和强迫疟疾传播与民事暴力事件之间的驼峰状关系提供了经验证据。与关于获得性对疟疾的免疫性的流行病学预测一致,以中等疟疾暴露为特征的细胞与疟疾暴露程度非常低或很高的细胞相比,具有更高的冲突发生率。我们将在2005年遏制疟疾计划的背景下探讨扩大抗疟疾政策的作用。结果提供了有力的证据,表明抗疟疾干预措施减少了民事暴力的发生,
更新日期:2018-07-01
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