Based on a random sample from 1 percent population survey data of 2005, this paper studies the impacts of Tangshan Earthquake on the educational attainment and subsequent labor market outcomes of affected cohorts using the methodology of difference-in-differences model and the local average treatment effect interpretation of instrumental variables technique. We find that the schooling years of the cohorts potentially affected by Tangshan Earthquake is 14%–21% of a year of schooling lower than the non-earthquake cohorts, which can be considered as the shortterm educational cost of Tangshan Earthquake. The rate of returns to years of schooling for the earthquake cohorts is 20.93%–27.85%. The earthquake leads 3.51%–4.77% loss of average income through the reduction of schooling years. A loss of 0.30%–0.41% of GDP in 2005 can be attributed to the lower educational attainment of the earthquake cohorts, which can be considered as the long-term educational cost of Tangshan Earthquake.

中文翻译：

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灾难的痛苦：1976年唐山地震的外来冲击证据的教育成本

基于2005年1％人口调查数据的随机样本，本文采用差异模型和局部平均治疗方法，研究了唐山地震对受影响人群的教育程度和随后的劳动力市场成果的影响。工具变量技术的解释。我们发现，受唐山地震潜在影响的人群的受教育年限比非地震人群的受教育年限低14％–21％，这可被视为唐山地震的短期教育成本。地震队列的受教育年限回报率为20.93％–27.85％。地震导致受教育年限减少，导致平均收入损失3.51％–4.77％。损失0.30％–0。