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House price, fertility rates and reproductive intentions
China Economic Review ( IF 5.2 ) Pub Date : 2020-05-26 , DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2020.101496
Jing Liu , Chunbing Xing , Qiong Zhang

This paper uses national representative data collected through population census and household surveys to estimate the effect of house price on women's childbearing behaviors and intentions. It shows that higher house price significantly lowers women's reproductive probability and that women aged 30 and under, who have been married for 3–5 years, and those with no children are more sensitive to such effect. A significantly negative fertility response to house price is observed among renter families and those with self-built houses, but the response is insignificant for home-owning families. Subsample analysis by child gender reveals that house price mainly affects the probability of male births. Furthermore, women in regions with higher house prices are more willing to have daughters whereas those owning more houses tend to have sons.



中文翻译:

房价,生育率和生殖意愿

本文使用通过人口普查和家庭调查收集的全国代表性数据来估计房价对妇女生育行为和意图的影响。它表明,较高的房价显着降低了妇女的生殖几率,并且已婚3-5年的30岁及30岁以下的妇女以及没有子女的妇女对这种影响更为敏感。在租房家庭和拥有自建房屋的家庭中,观察到生育率对房价的负面影响显着,但对于有房主的家庭而言,这一影响微不足道。按儿童性别进行的子样本分析显示,房价主要影响男性出生的可能性。此外,房价较高的地区的妇女更愿意生女儿,而拥有更多房屋的妇女则倾向于生儿子。

更新日期:2020-05-26
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