The Open Science Collaboration (Science, 349(6251), 1–8, 2015) produced a massive failure to replicate previous research in psychology—what has been called a “replication crisis in psychology.” An important question for behavior scientists is: To what extent is behavior science vulnerable to this type of massive replication failure? That question is addressed by considering the features of a traditional approach to behavior science. Behavior science in its infancy was a natural science, inductive, within-subject approach that encouraged both direct and systematic replication. Each of these features of behavior science increased its resistance to three factors identified as responsible for the alleged replication crisis: (1) failures to replicate procedures, (2) low-power designs, and (3) publication bias toward positive results. As behavior science has evolved, the features of the traditional approach have become less ubiquitous. And if the science continues to evolve as it has, it will likely become more vulnerable to a massive replication failure like that reported by the Open Science Collaboration (Science, 349(6251), 1–8, 2015).

中文翻译：

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行为分析的演变：走向复制危机？

开放科学合作（科学，349(6251), 1–8, 2015) 在复制之前的心理学研究方面发生了巨大的失败——这被称为“心理学的复制危机”。行为科学家面临的一个重要问题是：行为科学在多大程度上容易受到这种大规模复制失败的影响？这个问题是通过考虑传统行为科学方法的特征来解决的。早期的行为科学是一门自然科学、归纳的、学科内的方法，鼓励直接和系统的复制。行为科学的这些特征中的每一个都增加了它对被确定为所谓的复制危机负责的三个因素的抵抗力：（1）未能复制程序，（2）低功率设计，以及（3）发表对积极结果的偏见。随着行为科学的发展，传统方法的特征变得不那么普遍。如果科学继续像现在这样发展，它可能会更容易受到开放科学合作报告的大规模复制失败的影响（科学，349 (6251)，1-8，2015 年。