ABSTRACT

This study performs a model-based multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) for supporting policy makers in Greece, in designing energy-efficiency policies through the selection of the most effective measures, towards sustainable development. The impact assessment of energy-efficiency measures is based on their macroeconomic, environmental and social implications. Such an evaluation of a quite large number of energy-efficiency measures, regarding both the building and the transport sector and based also on the combination of PROMETHEE and SIMOS methods while performing a sensitivity analysis, is not available in the international literature. The analysis deploys three energy-efficiency co-benefits, derived from energy models and input-output analysis, as well as the cost-effectiveness and the technical feasibility of each measure. This combination of MCDA with input-output analysis is another innovation of the study. The final ranking revealed that, generally, measures in buildings are more effective than those in transportation, while significant differentiations between residential and commercial buildings emerged.

摘要

本研究执行基于模型的多标准决策分析（MCDA），以支持希腊的决策者通过选择最有效的措施来设计能源效率政策，以实现可持续发展。节能措施的影响评估基于其宏观经济，环境和社会影响。在国际文献中，尚无关于建筑物和交通运输业的大量节能措施的评估，也基于PROMETHEE和SIMOS方法的结合，同时进行了敏感性分析。该分析部署了三种能源效率共同效益，这些收益来自能源模型和投入产出分析，以及每种措施的成本效益和技术可行性。MCDA与投入产出分析的结合是这项研究的另一项创新。最终排名显示，总体而言，建筑物的措施要比交通措施更为有效，而住宅和商业建筑物之间却出现了明显的区别。