当前位置: X-MOL 学术European Journal of Futures Research › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Generating a vision for smart sustainable cities of the future: a scholarly backcasting approach
European Journal of Futures Research ( IF 3.1 ) Pub Date : 2019-08-28 , DOI: 10.1186/s40309-019-0157-0
Simon Elias Bibri , John Krogstie

Sustainable cities have been the leading global paradigm of urbanism. Undoubtedly, sustainable development has, since its widespread diffusion in the early 1990s, positively influenced city planning and development. This pertains to the immense opportunities that have been explored and the enormous benefits that have been realized in relation to sustainable urban forms, especially compact cities and eco-cities. However, such forms are still associated with a number of problems, issues, and challenges. This mainly involves the question of how they should be monitored, understood, analyzed, and planned to improve, advance, and maintain their contribution to sustainability and thus to overcome the kind of wicked problems, unsettled issues, and complex challenges they embody. This in turn brings us to the current question related to the weak connection between and the extreme fragmentation of sustainable cities and smart cities as approaches and landscapes, respectively, despite the proven role of advanced ICT, coupled with the untapped potential of big data technology and its novel applications, in supporting sustainable cities as to enhancing and optimizing their performance under what is labeled “smart sustainable cities.” In this respect, there has recently been a conscious push for sustainable cities to become smart and thus more sustainable by particularly embracing what big data technology and its novel applications has to offer in the hopes of reaching the optimal level of sustainability. In the meantime, we are in the midst of an expansion of time horizons in city planning and development. In this context, sustainable cities across the globe have adopted ambitious smart goals that extend far into the future. Essentially, there are multiple visions of, and pathways to achieving, smart sustainable cities based on how they can be conceptualized and operationalized. The aim of this paper is to generate a vision for smart sustainable cities of the future by answering the 6 guiding questions for step 3 of the futures study being conducted. This study aims to analyze, investigate, and develop a novel model for smart sustainable cities of the future using backcasting as a scholarly approach. It involves a series of papers of which this paper is the second one, following the earlier papers with steps 1 and 2. Visionary images of a long-term future can stimulate an accelerated movement towards achieving the long-term goals of sustainability. The proposed model is believed to be the first of its kind and thus has not been, to the best of one’s knowledge, produced, nor is it being currently investigated, elsewhere.

中文翻译:

为未来的智能可持续城市产生远景:一种学术性的方法

可持续城市一直是全球领先的城市主义范式。无疑,自1990年代初广泛传播以来,可持续发展已对城市规划和发展产生了积极影响。这与已探索的巨大机会和已实现的与可持续城市形式(尤其是紧凑型城市和生态城市)有关的巨大利益有关。但是,这样的形式仍然与许多问题,问题和挑战相关联。这主要涉及以下问题:如何对其进行监控,理解,分析和计划,以改善,推进和维持其对可持续性的贡献,从而克服其所面临的种种邪恶问题,未解决的问题和复杂的挑战。这反过来又将我们引向当前的问题,尽管可持续发展的城市和智慧城市之间的联系薄弱,以及作为方法和景观的极端分化,尽管先进的ICT的作用已被证实,加上大数据技术和未开发的潜力它在支持可持续城市方面的新颖应用,以所谓的“智能可持续城市”增强和优化其绩效。在这方面,最近有意识地推动可持续城市变得更聪明,从而更加可持续发展,方法是特别拥抱大数据技术及其新颖的应用程序所必须提供的功能,以期达到最佳的可持续性水平。同时,我们正处于城市规划和发展的时间跨度扩大中。在这种情况下,全球各地的可持续城市都采用了雄心勃勃的智慧目标,并将其延伸到未来。本质上,基于如何将其概念化和运营,对智能可持续城市有多种愿景和实现途径。本文的目的是通过回答正在进行的期货研究的第3步中的6个指导性问题,为未来的智能可持续城市产生愿景。这项研究的目的是使用反向广播作为一种学术方法来分析,调查和开发未来智慧可持续城市的新型模型。它涉及一系列论文,继早期论文的第1步和第2步之后,本文是第二篇。有远见的长期愿景可以刺激人们加快实现可持续性长期目标的步伐。
更新日期:2019-08-28
down
wechat
bug