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Book review: listening to the approaching wave
European Journal of Futures Research ( IF 3.625 ) Pub Date : 2017-11-02 , DOI: 10.1007/s40309-017-0114-8
Emmanuel G. Koukios

In his book, Markku Wilenius, Professor of Future Studies at the University of Turku, in Finland, applies the concept of the mega waves of change (of 40–60 years each), proposed by the Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev. His central argument is that the world is presently experiencing a transition between an ending mega-wave (1970–2010), dominated by Information and Communication Technologies, and a starting one, following the deep financial crises of 2008–2009, and containing patterns discussed in the book. The list of patterns examined is impressive. It includes factors of several types shaping the future, such as major environmental problems; the need for a new economy; challenges for societies, e.g., by globalization and ageing; building participatory and trust-worthy political systems; and developing intelligent technological solutions, and creative educational institutions. Each pattern is thoroughly analysed, in a simple, easy-to-follow language, using examples, and supported by a rich literature. In the last chapter, the author offers a five-point action strategy as a navigation tool for crossing the new mega wave of change; his plan deserves to be discussed and followed by all key players and social actors.

中文翻译:

书评:倾听即将来临的浪潮

芬兰图尔库大学未来研究教授Markku Wilenius在他的书中运用了由俄罗斯经济学家尼古拉·康德拉季耶夫(Nikolai Kondratiev)提出的巨变浪潮(每次变化40至60年)的概念。他的中心论点是,在经历了2008-2009年的严重金融危机之后,当今世界正经历着由信息和通信技术主导的结束的巨浪(1970-2010年)和开始的巨浪之间的过渡,其中包含了讨论的模式在书里。研究的模式列表令人印象深刻。它包括影响未来的几种类型的因素,例如主要的环境问题;对新经济的需求;全球化和老龄化等社会挑战;建立参与性和值得信赖的政治制度;并开发智能技术解决方案,和创新的教育机构。每种模式都通过简单,易于理解的语言使用示例进行了详尽的分析,并得到了丰富的文献资料的支持。在上一章中,作者提供了一种五点行动策略作为跨越新的巨潮的导航工具。他的计划值得所有主要参与者和社会行为者讨论和遵循。
更新日期:2017-11-02
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