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Trends in Family Violence Are Not Causally Associated with COVID-19 Stay-at-Home Orders: a Commentary on Piquero et al.
American Journal of Criminal Justice ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-10-07 , DOI: 10.1007/s12103-020-09574-w
Jennifer M Reingle Gonzalez 1 , Rebecca Molsberry 1, 2 , Jonathan Maskaly 3 , Katelyn K Jetelina 2
Affiliation  

COVID-19 has caused a wave of research publications in academic and pre-print outlets which have resulted in several high-profile retractions. While the breadth of emerging research has been instrumental in understanding and curbing the global pandemic in near real-time, unfortunately manuscripts with major methodological challenges have fallen through the cracks. In this perspective, we illustrate this issue in light of a recent manuscript by Piquero et al. (2020). In the study, a statistically significant association between stay-at-home orders and family violence was not detected; however, the authors widely disseminated a “12.5% increase in family violence” offenses to a variety of media outlets. This negligent dissemination of inaccurate research findings has important implications for policy and the virus mitigation efforts, which might urge policymakers to terminate stay-at-home orders in an effort to reduce family violence and other social risk factors. Changes may ultimately result in more COVID-related deaths as stay-at-home orders are prematurely and inappropriately lifted to prevent purported injuries in the home. Therefore, the widespread propagation of these claims in the absence of scientific evidence of an increase has great potential to cause harm.

中文翻译:

家庭暴力趋势与 COVID-19 居家令没有因果关系:对 Piquero 等人的评论。

COVID-19 在学术和预印本刊物上引起了一波研究出版物的热潮,这导致了几次高调的撤稿。尽管新兴研究的广度有助于近乎实时地理解和遏制全球流行病,但不幸的是,具有重大方法学挑战的手稿已被遗漏。从这个角度来看,我们根据 Piquero 等人最近的手稿来说明这个问题。(2020 年)。在这项研究中,没有发现居家令与家庭暴力之间存在统计学上的显着关联;然而,作者向各种媒体广泛传播了“家庭暴力增加了 12.5%”的罪行。这种对不准确研究结果的疏忽传播对政策和病毒缓解工作具有重要意义,这可能会敦促政策制定者终止居家令,以减少家庭暴力和其他社会风险因素。变化可能最终导致更多与 COVID 相关的死亡,因为居家令被过早且不恰当地取消,以防止据称在家中受伤。因此,在没有科学证据表明增加的情况下,这些说法的广泛传播很有可能造成伤害。
更新日期:2020-10-07
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