ABSTRACT

The resilience modeling is applied to the global warming where the energy production and consumption are examined. In this work, the nuclear energy is done as a role of the mitigating factor in the state of energy mix strategy in which several energy sectors are to be combined comparatively in some portion of each other as coal, oil, nuclear, and renewable energy. In the modeling, the nuclear energy relation with carbon emissions is compared with the coal & carbon energy case. There are three graphs of Resilience, Climate, and Risk that show the trends of the quantifications. As a result, the trend of the coal & carbon energy is nearly similar, although the quantity is different. In 2077, the Nuclear, Coal & Oil, and Carbon Dioxides are 3,929.21, 46,760.9, and 186,123 respectively. The nuclear energy’s effect is the lowest one comparing with the others. It is concluded that the climate change in the human society is also characterized by the resilience effects.

摘要

弹性模型适用于全球变暖，在该变暖中检查了能源生产和消耗。在这项工作中，核能是能源混合战略中缓解因素的作用，在该战略中，煤炭，石油，核能和可再生能源等多个能源领域相互比较组合。在建模中，将核能与碳排放的关系与煤与碳能的情况进行了比较。弹性，气候和风险这三个图表显示了量化趋势。结果，尽管数量不同，但煤和碳能源的趋势几乎相似。在2077年，核能，煤炭与石油和二氧化碳分别为3,929.21、46,760.9和186,123。与其他相比，核能的影响最低。结论是，人类社会的气候变化也具有复原力效应。